*2022 Recap: Where to start…This year I went from being a “strictly OTC” trader in 2020 and 2021, to one that rarely, if ever, trades them. I went from not giving two shits about market sentiment and economic data, to one that now will base trades and ideas solely off of them. I made the change of strategy end of April and it definitely showed p&l wise. I’d like to think what led me to the drastic size up period was all due to a mistake I made in early April, when I bought 1 million shares instead of 100k shares of a stock. In the moment I was shitting my pants as I had to try and mange to get out of this position as it was not breaking out like I had imagined. Needless to say I held it together and managed to size out of the trade on pops and get out relatively unscathed. This major fat finger mistake had just led me to my biggest trading revelation thus far. I can handle/manage/endure massive size if I choose to. I now focused on taking much smaller moves with much larger size. I had been following/tracking some EV plays that I had a good read on comparative to the overall market. That next month it was game on with putting this strategy to the test. I’d say it worked out well hitting my personal bests the following month. Fast forward to end of year, I hit some snags in the road with a total shit market environment decline, but this new found idea on trading has given me the confidence to play with the big dogs, or the bigger, small dogs haha. I’m excited to see what this scalping mentality can do in a bullish market and one where the OTCs are flying. I still will be patiently waiting for a pop in OTCs and see what we can do there. 2023 here we come! “The consistency you seek is in you mind, not in the markets.”
*Month Recap: Little late to the party with the month recap. Pretty consistent month. Overall pleased with how I’ve been trading through this difficult market cycle we’ve been experiencing. I know I said I would be moving on from my go to tickers but I lied and still have been dabbling with them. The volume, or lack there of, has truly been burning me, making me work harder than normal by digging myself out of a whole before trending on a daily basis. Market has been on an end of year mini (Christmas) rally with many “experts” saying we likely have seen the lows due to the months inflation report coming in softer than expected. I don’t feel the same way. It feels like we’re setting up for a massive drop in the coming days, likely next CPI report will be the nail in the coffin. We have yet to see a true panic in the market as a whole I feel, and in all prior historical accounts, we need to see one to turn this bear into a bull. Either way, I’ll be playing my plays and scalping my scalps until I see something abnormal that makes me trade otherwise. There has been a few OTCs popping up on my twitter feed so maybe I’ll start running that scan again. Last month of the year. Let’s push for a good finish! “The idea is to constantly be going slightly outside of your comfort zone until that becomes normal and then you do it again.”
*Month Recap: What a shit show this market has become! I could really feel the shift towards an almost complete algorithmic environment. Moves have been happening to trap whatever ‘real’ traders are left. The up and down moves, once in a play, have been just ridiculous. Other than the ‘at the market open’ trades, it seems as though as soon as I enter a play, the algos are set to immediately slam to the opposite side to flush. This shift of price action has really been noticeable this month, and seemingly getting worse. To combat it, I’ve been trying to work on new tickers and steer clear of my ‘go to’ tickers due to lack of volume. October started out really well but was put on halt week 3 due to a work trip. I was gone all week from the 17th-21st and it really showed P&L wise. I’m going to cut myself down to trading with extremely small size or no trades at all in the future when I do trade away from home. Super frustrating. Market has been re-testing bottom support levels now in November due to the Fed continuing to push an aggressive agenda to combat inflation. Crypto seems like it wants to make a move as it has been holding up really well compared to the overall market. We’ll see if my crypto based tickers can hold and make some moves. “Motivation is what gets you started. Discipline is what keeps you going.”
*Month Recap: Pretty average month overall. Started out still on vacation for about the first week and a half. Month started on the tail end of my losing streak, so I was still coming to grips with that and trying to get my mental game back on track. The market has been absolutely brutal and on the fringe of collapse it seems. September wraps up the 3rd consecutive quarter of market wide decline, but we’re still NOT in recession territory. I read somewhere that said, since Biden took office, the stock market has accumulated a total loss of $7.6 trillion. That just seems insane to me, all the while sending billions and billions to aid a foreign war. The inflation numbers continue to churn out with core inflation still on the rise. Interest rates continue to tick up and posted its 3 straight .75pt hike. Mortgage rates are skyrocketing in hopes of a housing market correction. The dollar keeps ripping to the upside. And today all three major indexes cracked their 52wk lows. Next week should be interesting to see how the market reacts to this fresh crack in support. Hopefully we can get a bounce and not just a complete market melt down. I will have my eyes on BTC and crypto to see if it can gain any kind of strength to at least give some hope to the market. Missed out on a nice OTC gapper today. Almost pulled the trigger yesterday just before close, as it broke a key level and whole number to boot. Market just has not been doing well with gappers lately and everything being red doesn’t really help the cause either. In a normal market I’d like to imagine I would have nailed that trade everyday of the week. “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it…he who doesn’t…pays it.” -Albert Einstein
*Month Recap: Nice turn around from last month. Summer vacation to the States on the 27th led to my green streak end for the month. I need to learn to take my foot off the gas when in travel/vacation mode. Took about a week to catch my footing when that slip came, but I managed to collect myself following my red streak. Such a massive disadvantage trading away from your home set up. Pretty happy with how I traded this month, however I’ve been noticing the liquidity dry further in the stocks I’ve been trading and not as many playable stocks popping up in my scans. Watched a pretty rad interview with Lance Breitstein about the “broken slot machine,” basically a stock that gives massive edge for an amount of time. Pretty sure this is what I discovered a few months ago when playing just one to three stocks and making my all time monthly highs. I think I need to be more patient when checking out scanned stocks as I’ve noticed they do tend to pop up on scan throughout the week. So instead of closing them out, keep them on watch and see if momentum can stick with it or ramp. At the moment Bitcoin is starting a mini rally off this 19k(ish) level which is helping with the overall market sentiment. Fed rate hike and CPI data are set for early next week so we’ll see where this market wants to go. Let’s hope we can start a new bull market. I’m still betting bears but we shall see. - “When I trade my best, I trade the least.” -Nate M. (IU)
*Month Recap: Recession Warning! Oh wait, the definition just changed, my bad, recession canceled.. The most mentally taxing month I’ve experienced to date. What a rollercoaster. Summer trading has officially set in, at least for my set up. Liquidity has completely vanished (trading with more than 50% less liquidity) which has made scalping the EVs difficult to impossible. Even though the charts have been setting up, the algos seem to have caught on to my scalping ways. I’m trying a new strategy out that incorporates my high frequency trading. I created a new scanner that will show me tickers similar to my set up, with market cap, float, and most importantly, volume, the main focus. Just picking a few that have a nice look, with volume, good daily gains, and running with a market theme or sector. I have sized down after the second week in the month to build back confidence and get a grip on these new ideas. Today we saw a few crazy runners and one runner (HKD) which was an IPO that was sitting at $15 a few days ago, go to $485. The market is making a run up and trying to break this bearish trend. I think it’s pretty overextended at the moment and it will be interesting to see what it does from here. Next week should be interesting. Let’s see if the politicians can keep fooling everyone that we’re not in a recession. “It’s ok to be wrong, it’s not ok to stay wrong. Adapt”
*Month Recap: The month started out beautifully with an almost 2k 3 day stretch. Things started to get a bit tricky following the first week of the month however. I also took a 3 week vacation up north to WA which may have hindered my gains just a little as I had to work with a portable screen along side my laptop instead of my home set up. The market took yet another downturn and is currently on the brink of ‘recession’ territory. My set up started to run flat nearing the end of the month and just started selling off with no range to the upside whatsoever. Super frustrating! Been watching the SQs for a reverse play on the Qs. I’ll be trying my hand at finding an edge with that when we have sell off days. Just have to remember to be more patient with it as it trades at a higher price and has a lot bigger swings than my current set up. Stoked to make +5k this month despite vacationing. Hopefully I can find some consistency with the SQs as this market continues its downward spiral. Getting closer to hitting that next milestone. “To become great at anything, you must be focused and must specialize.”
*Month Recap: What a difference a month can bring. Hitting personal bests all month long. This has been a month of growth and realization. The realization that small moves can amount to large gains with the proper liquidity and size. This has been an amazing market for scalps as the volatility has been pretty epic. The bull rallies in this bear market environment is no joke and as long as you stay on the right side of the trend you are golden and set for some great gains. I’ve been wondering how much size I can push without getting trapped into a position. Trying to work on sizing into positions more and being on the right side of the trend, which is crucial. I’ve dug myself out of some large holes that were due to being too early or on the wrong side of the trend. It’s so much easier when you wait it out for a confirmation and direction of which way the ticker wants to move. Next month I’m going to see if this strategy can hold true and see how much size I can push without leaving myself too vulnerable to the downside. Let’s fucking go!!! “Get obsessed with who you need to be.” Thoughts will dictate your actions…
dude! it's been a while. good to see you back on the posts! hope the tradings been going well for you. cheers!
@rey_11 finally am learning to master listed buys !
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